Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.249141 1.443175 1.656765 1.909247 2.199500 2.522687 2.909849
2025-04-20 0.973957 1.225975 1.527171 1.913398 2.395360 2.976882 3.731949
2025-04-27 0.807586 1.095598 1.465392 1.974388 2.656417 3.538553 4.766506
2025-05-04 0.673832 0.977609 1.393486 2.003313 2.873983 4.071885 5.845696
2025-05-11 0.565945 0.872609 1.317540 2.008393 3.052858 4.572057 6.950154
2025-05-18 0.466194 0.760141 1.209957 1.945990 3.118559 4.912885 7.867563
2025-05-25 0.380237 0.652918 1.091252 1.844080 3.102682 5.120719 8.602108
2025-06-01 0.329264 0.593066 1.036828 1.833740 3.226485 5.557420 9.753992
2025-06-08 0.283004 0.533174 0.972341 1.794716 3.292968 5.903082 10.793590
2025-06-15 0.265022 0.520490 0.986985 1.894948 3.613744 6.720661 12.759628
2025-06-22 0.240933 0.492355 0.969056 1.931716 3.821785 7.360367 14.482486
2025-06-29 0.214187 0.454717 0.927520 1.916636 3.927684 7.821264 15.923387
2025-07-06 0.180733 0.399266 0.845284 1.813314 3.854282 7.945914 16.759645
2025-07-13 0.167219 0.383573 0.841110 1.869216 4.112351 8.759278 19.100116
2025-07-20 0.158175 0.376193 0.853246 1.961522 4.460254 9.801877 22.064381
2025-07-27 0.146506 0.360963 0.846092 2.010325 4.720421 10.693537 24.826646
2025-08-03 0.133893 0.341437 0.826382 2.027524 4.911702 11.459779 27.414510
2025-08-10 0.118153 0.311700 0.778598 1.971572 4.924936 11.828219 29.139789
2025-08-17 0.102028 0.278267 0.716910 1.872337 4.819426 11.906803 30.186706
2025-08-24 0.092813 0.261269 0.693175 1.864217 4.936887 12.528080 32.635432
2025-08-31 0.083187 0.241572 0.659680 1.825945 4.972256 12.953386 34.651862
2025-09-07 0.080900 0.241846 0.678413 1.928766 5.390160 14.388592 39.452053
2025-09-14 0.075973 0.233779 0.673569 1.966713 5.639681 15.423708 43.338099